Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 238.021587 268.058808 301.337368 341.103396 387.539363 440.303328 505.154558
2025-04-27 199.155944 240.221577 289.794738 354.731098 438.568922 544.580069 691.073202
2025-05-04 173.581285 218.572205 275.927081 355.708026 465.921894 616.052339 841.851669
2025-05-11 151.866314 197.545031 258.251121 346.737455 475.738468 662.448294 963.943799
2025-05-18 135.813720 181.494838 244.355637 339.701364 485.333253 707.714293 1090.677070
2025-05-25 127.931438 175.479419 243.166733 349.950638 520.871442 796.588364 1304.557872
2025-06-01 118.374636 165.890193 235.457308 348.886886 537.830027 857.467411 1482.702931
2025-06-08 108.902687 155.421549 225.182618 342.216276 544.086368 900.345693 1636.152945
2025-06-15 102.348826 148.693201 219.850633 342.654124 562.041457 966.292686 1849.848143
2025-06-22 94.916189 139.943687 210.448641 335.053539 564.394234 1002.993598 2010.473086
2025-06-29 89.635039 134.136946 205.216952 333.926743 578.226307 1063.963950 2240.408843
2025-07-06 82.527015 124.861268 193.480547 320.006205 565.789516 1069.175973 2339.439005
2025-07-13 80.528194 123.898351 195.803291 332.162901 606.835940 1196.474931 2786.501798
2025-07-20 78.898575 123.423242 198.920342 346.189696 653.996910 1347.707565 3354.758472
2025-07-27 75.361108 119.416132 195.435729 347.048924 673.372573 1438.260264 3783.613526
2025-08-03 70.754849 113.239271 187.552150 338.354979 670.542628 1473.991278 4056.923881
2025-08-10 66.811036 107.969937 180.927195 331.526507 670.973184 1518.199506 4376.394418
2025-08-17 65.405395 107.107034 182.383780 341.471740 711.707287 1677.693460 5170.924096
2025-08-24 62.711750 103.737315 178.831744 340.439639 726.020808 1767.878548 5752.593128
2025-08-31 59.571524 99.360772 173.030187 333.967070 725.996350 1816.978373 6195.094883
2025-09-07 57.455469 96.752008 170.481144 334.391946 743.525393 1922.734500 6938.723614
2025-09-14 54.626143 92.648486 164.701335 327.016006 739.753039 1961.847180 7402.797829
2025-09-21 52.655802 90.062982 161.789193 325.922416 752.644877 2057.954211 8204.511765